Forex dates back to ancient times, when traders first began exchanging coins from different countries and groups. However, the foreign exchange industry itself is the newest of the financial markets.
In the last hundred years, the foreign exchange market has undergone some dramatic transformations. In 1944, the postwar foreign exchange system was established as a result of a multinational conference held at Bretton Woods, New Hampshire. That system remained intact until the early 1970’s.
At this conference, representatives from 45 nations met together to discuss the future exchange system. The conference resulted in the formation of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). It also produced an agreement that fixed currencies in an exchange-rate system would tolerate one percent currency fluctuations to gold values, or to the U.S. Dollar, which was established previously as the “gold standard.” The system of connecting the currency’s value to gold or the U.S. Dollar was called pegging.
In 1967, a Chicago bank refused a college professor by the name of Milton Friedman a loan in pound sterling because he had intended to use the funds to short the British currency. Friedman, who had perceived sterling to be priced too high against the dollar, wanted to sell the currency, then later buy it back to repay the bank after the currency declined, thus pocketing a quick profit. The bank's refusal to grant the loan was due to the Bretton Woods Agreement, established twenty years earlier, which fixed national currencies against the dollar, and set the dollar at a rate of $35 per ounce of gold.
The history of the FOREX Market as it exists today begins before 1971 when the FOREX market departed from The Bretton Woods Accord to reflect a radical change in Universal fixed exchange rates. After World War Two, the Bretton Woods Accord was introduced to the FOREX market to stabilize the devastated world economy.
The Agreement was finally abandoned in 1971 and the US dollar would no longer be convertible into gold.
After the Bretton Woods Accord came the Smithsonian agreement in December of 1971. This agreement was similar to the Bretton Woods Accord but allowed for greater fluctuation band for the currencies. In 1972, the European community tried to move away from their dependency on the dollar. The European Joint Float was established by West Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Belgium and Luxemburg. This agreement was similar to the Bretton Woods Accord, but allowed a greater range of fluctuation in the currency values.
Both agreements made mistakes similar to the Bretton Woods Accord and, by 1973, collapsed. The collapse of the Smithsonian agreement and the European Joint Float in 1973 signified the official switch to the free-floating system. This occurred by default as there were no new agreements to take their place. Governments were now free to peg their currencies, semi-peg or allow them to freely float. In 1978, the free-floating system was officially mandated.
Europe tried, in a final effort to gain independence from the dollar, by creating the European Monetary System in July of 1978. This, like all of the earlier agreements, failed in 1993.
Important milestones in the history of Forex
The Gold Standard
Money was invented when barter was no longer an adequate means of trade, seeing that actual goods could quickly lose value, were subject to value discrepancies, and could many times not easily be divided (Morris, 4). Money, on the other hand, could function as a medium of exchange, a unit of accounting, and a store of value (Ethier, 402). The original form of money was typically something that had value in itself, such a precious metal. The metal itself, usually gold or silver (Eichengreen, 9), was valuable, both because of its scarcity and its inherent usefulness.
By the nineteenth century, both coins and paper money were in popular use. Under the famous "Gold Standard," currencies were not directly valued in terms of each other. Instead, each currency had a certain, the rate at which the currency could be exchanged for gold. This in turn produced an effective exchange rate between any two currencies.
In 1900, for example, the mint parity for the U.S. dollar was $20.67, while that of the British pound was 3 pounds, 17 shillings, 10½ pence. To exchange U.S. dollars for British pounds, one would divide $20.67 by 3.17.10½, which produces $4.86 per pound after adjusting for the fact that U.S. gold coins had a somewhat greater gold content than did British coins (Aliber, 34).
Paper money could then be used in place of the precious metal. A citizen could carry paper money while the central bank would, in which more money left the country than came in, there would be less U.S. dollars in circulation.
Because central banks have large control over the interest rates, the rates at which banks borrow and lend money, they soon found that they did not have to passively wait for gold flows to be restored. In a trade deficit scenario, with gold supplies leaving the country, a central bank could raise interest rates which would make domestic savings more attractive.
Floating Exchanges Systems
Under a floating exchange system, on the other hand, currencies are not valued in terms of gold - they are valued in terms of other currencies.
In the early 20th century, two world wars brought about social upheavals, rapid inflation, and the destruction of the setting which made the gold standard operable. Between the wars, many countries elected to temporarily abandon the gold standard and opt for floating exchange systems until their economies returned to the point at which in light of the fact that, if a currency drifted too far outside its band and could not be contained by central bank intervention, the country was allowed to adjust its peg by setting a new exchange price.
There were three aspects of the system that were in conflict: constant exchange rates, autonomous domestic economic policies, and increasing international capital mobility. The existence of Bretton Woods did not stop states from using domestic economic policy (manipulating interest rates, for example, as under the gold standard) for domestic reasons, whatever their long-term effects on the exchange rate. Capital mobility simply makes the effects of domestic economic policies on the exchange rate happen sooner than they otherwise would.
With the instability brought about by the Vietnam War, central banks finally began to convert their dollars to gold. To halt the loss of gold, in 1971 Nixon "closed the gold window" by refusing to provide gold to foreign dollar holders (Eichengreen, 133). In 1974 the Bretton Woods System of adjustable pegs was officially abandoned and the Jamaica Agreement basically allowed the presence of any exchange system a country chooses (Aliber, 52).
Exchange Systems Today
There are several exchange systems a country can currently choose from. A free floating exchange system, as mentioned earlier, would simply allow the market to determine the price of a currency. Trade surpluses and deficits, domestic investments versus foreign investments, and domestic taxation policies, to name a few factors affecting the exchange rate, would all be allowed to occur whatever their effects on the currency.
A pegged exchange rate, on the other hand, would function exactly as the gold standard did a century beforehand, except that a country would its currency to the price of another currency, usually the U.S. dollar. If there is a balance of payments deficit, for example the central bank will buy the appropriate amount of the domestic currency in exchange for its foreign currency reserves, thereby returning the price of the currency to its peg but at the same time depleting the size of its reserves.
Some countries practice by, while remaining officially free-floating, sometimes intervening in their currency rates in order to suite domestic interests - increasing (revaluing) their exchange rate before an oil shipment, for example (Luca, 17). Other countries, for example Brazil before its turn to a free floating system, peg their currencies to the U.S. dollar or some other currency but allow the rate to float within a certain band similar to the Bretton Woods adjustable peg system.
The FOREX Market, often considered to be the playground of governmental institutions operating under the agency of central banks, expanded its horizons in recent years to include corporations, hedge funds, and speculators and most recently with the dot com boom and the expansion of the world wide web, now the private investors have been afforded the lucrative opportunity to be a part of the action.
The appeal of The FOREX Market is one of non-stop, twenty four hour a day trading for the five business days of the week. The first tentative steps towards a global economy have created a fast moving liquid market facilitating a wide variety of transaction options. Combine this with the ability to make money in both winning and losing markets and you will see why The FOREX Market is considered by some to be the fastest developing most lucrative business opportunity open to the savvy investor who has the skill, intelligence, acumen and backing to create substantial profits.
The FOREX Market provides a number of ways for investors to get in on the global high stakes action. From the spot market to spread betting, options, contracts for difference and futures, these are just some of the ways FOREX can turn a modest portfolio with moderate potential, into a heavy hitting enterprise totaling far in excess of what it once was. The BIS or Bank of International Settlements estimated in a recent survey that over $1,200,000,000.00 is exchanged everyday on The FOREX Market. Currently industry analysts think the market is not living up to its 1978 potential of $1,490,000,000.00 and still view this as an attainable goal for the FOREX Market of the future.
